Research on the prospect of LED industry in 2015

On the Chinese market, from technology to application, in terms of green energy conservation, the current lighting industry is in a period of revolutionary renewal. Incandescent lamps will be eliminated, energy-saving lamps are in full swing, and LED is in the ascendant. The rational return of policy to the market-led development, the government introduced subsidy policy, providing research and development subsidies to enterprises can not only promote the progress of new technologies, but also stimulate the market, form mass production, and promote the decline in the price of raw materials. provide better support for the development of LED industry. However, this is not the case. As a large gathering area of LED industry, in recent years, China's LED industry has developed by leaps and bounds, industrial supporting facilities have been gradually improved, LED technology has been continuously improved, costs have been continuously reduced, and product prices have gradually become civilian. However, compared with the international, there is still a big gap in China's LED industry. The slow development of enterprises is not due to insufficient government support and subsidies. On the contrary, it is due to excessive government subsidies and support. this has caused many enterprises to have government dependence and lost the motivation to participate in market competition. At the beginning of the market launch, government subsidies will certainly help to expand the market, and will have a certain pulling effect on the entire industrial chain. However, neither enterprises nor local governments can use subsidies as the only means. Because the enterprises and products that can obtain subsidies are only a small part, in order to occupy the market, it depends on technological innovation, brand and channel construction. Blind development with quick success and instant benefits will only lead to insufficient competitiveness and the fate of being eliminated in the market. The huge amount of state financial subsidies has not only made these enterprises that grew up in the greenhouse a new life, but has become a catalyst for their death. At the same time, the state finances are also difficult to withstand enterprises that are becoming more and more huge and have no benefits as long as subsidies. Many people think that the development of LED lighting industry is a market economy behavior. If the government policies intervene too much, it will not be conducive to its development in a benign direction and will eventually follow the footsteps of the photovoltaic industry. In fact, although the starting point of local governments is good, excessive investment subsidies are just one of the major causes of overcapacity in the industry. The country's huge subsidies increased the impulse of some enterprises to invest, and the terminal consumption subsidies eventually evolved into direct subsidies to production enterprises. At present, although many local governments still vigorously support the LED industry and introduce relevant policies, since Shenzhen abolished the LED industry plan in early 2013, the LED industrial policies of the country and many local governments have begun to become rational. After the accumulation of technology in recent years, China's LED industry technology has developed rapidly, and conventional technology is no longer a big problem that plagues the development of LED enterprises. In addition, the large order of domestic LED equipment in recent years has basically balanced the quantity of equipment with the demand of the whole market. In 2014, the national policy will be more inclined to subsidies for the terminal consumption of products. it is no longer the support of enterprise technology research and development, equipment introduction and industry scale, and policies similar to home appliance subsidies may come. Especially in the face of the overall downturn in the LED industry, the state will start a new round of subsidies. The concept of green lighting is misunderstood. The data shows that the current lighting energy consumption accounts for 22 of the total power consumption, and the significance of green lighting is that from incandescent lamps to energy-saving lamps, 80 power consumption can be reduced. After this replacement process is completed, the lighting energy consumption ratio will be correspondingly reduced to 17, while the current NXP has 0. 5 billion chips for energy-saving lamps, which is equivalent to a reduction of kilograms of carbon dioxide per year. The future sales are expected to expand 10 times and 20 times. the meaning of energy saving is even more unlimited. As for the mercury pollution of energy-saving lamps criticized by the world, there are also great misunderstandings. On the one hand, mercury pollution of energy-saving lamps does exist, however, mercury pollution also exists in many fields in nature. compared with people's discoloration of mercury in energy-saving lamps, research shows that an energy-saving lamp contains less mercury than a marine fish such as salmon shark. The gap between the reality and the ideal of LED lighting, for the current industry that LED lighting design mainly has the problem of heat dissipation, Chen Wei has more supplements. He believes that although there are short-term solutions such as fans and openings, the fundamental direction to solve LED application is to improve the light efficiency. When the light efficiency is the same and the light efficiency is the same, the brightness is also relatively improved. Since LED is also a semiconductor, subject to Moore's law, its performance will be greatly improved on a regular basis. When it comes to the market application of LED, some people think that the direction should be intelligent and innovative lighting. Because the original user must first think about the location of the lamp before decoration, intelligent lighting allows the user to place the lamp in any position, regardless of Point Light or surface light. In addition, another application field of LED is biomolecules. for example, in the chicken and flower industry, dimming depth dimming is required. However, in addition to incandescent lamps, energy-saving lamps are usually not available. Currently, NXP has developed a new LED chip that can be adjusted to 1, which is widely praised by the market. It is estimated that the market share of LED will be from 1 to 20- The time span of 30 may not be too long, and due to value differentiation, the cost of LED is expected to be reduced. However, it is also difficult to achieve the cost gradient of energy-saving lamps. How fast LED can go depends on the improvement speed of its light source efficiency.