World incandescent light bulb market in twenty billion, is after the cutoff, in 2012 to ban the specification on the road, although energy-saving fluorescent penetration still prevail, but under the global environmental awareness rising, LED push has become a national policy, which LED bulbs will impel the lighting plan for many countries in one of the priority of the imported products. Market forecasts, 2011 LED bulbs permeability was 3%, the shipments will reach six hundred million, production value of $8 billion. 40 and 60 watts to 2013, with the traditional light bulb wave tide in tide, the overall size of the market will soar to two billion five hundred million.
Japan, South Korea and in North America and other countries have implemented on green products such as LED lighting subsidy policy, at present, including stores, shops and factories and other places also have higher willingness to replacement for LED lighting, forecasts for 2011 global LED lighting is expected to top 10% permeability, attract day, philips, osram, sharp and other companies compete for business opportunities. Because more and more countries began to budget to replace the LED street light, coupled with the LED lighting possible price of more than 30% a year, estimates permeability will rise to almost 20% in 2013, the market prospects.
because the LED light source characteristics, special product design and the driving circuit with high efficiency, and in terms of optical design, LED is a one-way point light source, optical design can be very good, is conducive to allow light to reach the designated area, at the same time reduce the reflection, which can improve the effect of irradiation, so the cost should be evaluating the LED illumination applications take off the key Pointers.
again from the LED production technology with availability, local governments in China are also put forward the lower tax rates, accelerating grappling with old change new, as well as the favorable measures such as free land, so the program tantamount to encourage existing China LED manufacturers to expand capacity, also LED to many new entrants, and manufacturers from Taiwan and South Korea also entered China in joint venture way, they all become the factors that promote China capacity increase.
because of this, we think that the huge market has LED lighting activation conditions.
is the first activated lighting market outdoor large Angle illumination, such as street lamps, billboard lamp. Indoor lighting first activation will be long-term lighting applications, including tunnel, supermarkets, factories, shopping malls, Cold white light) , office buildings, is expected by the end of 2011 or so most of the commercial lighting activated, household lighting is mainly high-end customers.
however, LED lighting market is faced with many challenges, in addition to price, such as improve the luminous efficiency, reduce glare and enhance optical configuration and evenness is key, especially in the field of replace fluorescent lamp is especially important. High efficiency LED color temperature is higher slants cool color flawed. Due to differences in habits, part of the application environment ( Such as clothing store) Or part of the country ( Like most Asian nations) Need lower warm white color temperature, and the most efficiency loss around 30% of the light source. Because of this, the activation of warm white threshold than cold white light, we estimate that when the cost of the LED can be decreased by about 40%, warm white would have the cold light of economy, expect this time around the end of 2011.