According to IHS market data, prices of solar module and inverter will push this year nearly 90 countries of solar power installed capacity increase. IHS predicted in the report, there are nine countries solar capacity this year than last year increased by more than 500 mw, in the past two years, module and inverter prices fell 32% and 18% respectively photovoltaic growth, will cause the battery last year and the component market oversupply situation may be reversed in the second quarter.
the European photovoltaic industry rise in power purchase agreement under the background of the growing number of companies, the European pv demand will be the strongest since 2012 year, is expected to reach 18 gigawatts. IHS think more attractive cost competitiveness is the main European Renaissance solar power. Scale of public utilities in Europe, the market will become the biggest winner, accounting for 48% of the installed capacity, and 33% last year.
“ The growth thanks to Germany, France, the Netherlands and Spain project subject to tender, this will drive new European utilities scale increased by 62% this year, throughout the &; Report that almost a quarter of the new pv capacity will be signed with big power consumers or energy traders from direct income obtained from the private power purchase agreement. Private power purchase agreement's main market is Spain, Portugal and Italy.
transformation and upgrading of the
the aging pv facilities will be conducted in 2019, upgrades, and power supply. About 40 gw, according to IHSMarkit the capacity of the factory have served more than six years, although the old-fashioned photovoltaic installations benefit from generous incentive plan, but the aging technology and components defect will affect the production capacity, to seek new sales channel equipment manufacturers see an opportunity, especially in Germany, Italy, Spain and France.
China will continue to promote global market dynamic
growth of photovoltaic power generation in China, over the past eight years is unprecedented, completed the 175 gigawatts of installed. National feed-in tariff policies to stimulate the domestic market, the country's rapid manufacturing base. At present, China's National Development and Reform Commission has to proceed to photovoltaic grid parity, but according to IHS, analysts say, is not subsidized projects will produce very little demand this year. Still, analysts predict the future Chinese market will be stable in the 40 - four years 50 gigawatts.
IHS also said that China will continue to provide reflect its climate sensitive agenda and protect its manufacturing base framework, so as to provide support for the estimate. Analysts explained, & other; China any significant deviations to this path will be a major impact on the global outlook. ”
utility scale energy storage space is large
IHS, said this year will see the first meaningful utility scale energy storage installations with solar power plant collocation. Most development will take place in North America, forecast for 500 mw. The U. S. market growth will be subject to the federal investment tax credit plan. Last year, decided on a plan of tax can be applied to and utility scale solar and storage systems. IHS, according to the report & other; Plans to increase the battery utilities in the United States size pv system project has grown to over 6 gw & throughout; , but analysts cautioned that many projects are speculative. However, they expect the next five years will build 2 gigawatts of energy storage. In addition to the United States, South Korea is large energy storage another high growth markets this year.
inverter market fierce competition in the past five years, inverter prices dropped by 61%, has brought about great pressure to the manufacturer's profit and revenue. As a result, many suppliers by providing engineering, procurement and construction services, and operation and maintenance, efforts to diversify its product portfolio. Analysts said the trend will continue. To avoid inverter product commercialization, suppliers must quickly using artificial intelligence, machine learning, the Internet of things application and other new technology. Electric vehicle charging is expected to achieve high growth in the next ten years.
solar module module efficiency competition is warming efficiency increased by 25% in the past decade, and high performance such as single crystal battery technology is becoming the mainstream. Efficient PERC battery may account for half of global output of this year, up from 14% in 2016. “ Is discussed using p-type PERC battery in 2019 at the possibility of mass production of 400 w modules, & throughout; Ihs, said many first-line brand has announced that it would reach 400 w products. But, double module may need to wait until 2020, or even later to breakthrough in business. ” According to IHSMarkit, before that, the pilot project will provide more data for investors to consider technology. Full digital
energy system this year about 30000 new things every day shipment of photovoltaic inverter, 12 months to about 11 million units. IHS, said the industry will be in this year's will focus on how to create value from their data will be provided. Operation and management may be the development of the first applications, such as ABB, schneider electric and Siemens have to provide a full range of industrial networking platform.
in addition, this year may appear more dispersed residential solar farms and grid scale measuring, monitoring and operational aspects of the development. Even, the combination of accumulated data can lead to public utilities management package, & other; With the customer measurement data, for example, solar inverter output and weather information can make utilities and grid operators calculation and energy demand and better manage grid. ”