Forecast of future trend of LED lighting industry

Every year, all walks of life will always have large and small meetings like to discuss the trend, and there are also various research reports to discuss. It is sometimes like fortune telling to predict the future of a specific field or even the whole industry by citing the objective of data or even the subjective of personal experience (Of course, this is more scientific and systematic) Since it is a speculation of the unknown world, the influencing factors in the development process all include force majeure, we should certainly allow it to deviate. Therefore, the following understanding and opinions on the trend of the LED industry as Ali belong to the opinions of individuals or organizations. It is expected that there may be some discrepancies with the actual situation. According to the development trend of China's LED lighting industry in 2016 (Draft for comment) ', From October 1, 2016, China will ban the sale and import of general lighting incandescent lamps of 15 watts and above. The withdrawal of incandescent lamps will undoubtedly bring more market space for LED enterprises. According to 2016- According to the data of the special survey and investment value forecast report of China's LED lighting industry in 2021, in the first half of 2016, the cumulative output of incandescent bulbs nationwide reached 20. 1. 2 billion, with the gradual withdrawal of most incandescent lamps, LED lighting industry will usher in a huge market. At the same time, since the 'road map' was put forward in 2011, the LED industry has set off a wave of investment storms, which has LED to an industry that is still overcapacity. Although the penetration rate of LED lamps in the domestic lighting market now exceeds 30, while that of incandescent lamps is less than 5, which has not formed a competitive trend, the supply of LED lighting products exceeds demand due to overcapacity, the profits of many LED companies are shrinking year by year. According to analysis, LED lights want to usher in real good, perhaps the time has not yet arrived. At present, fluorescent lamps and energy-saving lamps have a great impact on the market share of LED lamps. In the new development trend of high-efficiency LED market in 2016 and 2016, power LED components are the key mainstream LED packaging products in the current market. The market has grown significantly in recent years. It is estimated that by 2020, LED lighting market size 37. With 4. 4 billion US dollars, The Power LED will occupy a large proportion due to performance and stability factors, which is highly optimistic in the market. At present, the medium-power LED market is favored by operators from all over the world. The market area of medium-power LED has improved from 150lm/W in the past to 220lm/W of ultra-efficient products. In the European and American markets, high efficiency is already acceptable and has become one of the preferred options for many purchasers. High-efficiency LED creates LED lamps and lighting systems, and also has a specification of 150lm/W overall efficiency, which fully meets and exceeds DLC new technology specification V4. 0 at 130lm/W ~ 140lm/W high efficiency requirements. This regulation, which will come into effect in 2017, will help expand the LED lighting market in the United States in the future. DLC released lighting technical requirements 4 in 2016. Draft 0, further amendments have been made to the luminous efficiency of lamps and light sources. Because COB products are easier to achieve high luminous efficiency, DLC4. The introduction of the 0 bill will have a positive impact on COB products. 2016- The development analysis and investment potential research report of China's LED device industry in 2021 show that in terms of lighting market, this has also driven the purchase demand of LED lighting equipment for the next generation. In European and American markets, solutions to replace LED lamps with an efficiency of only 80lm/W or less are also gradually emerging.