At present, there is a certain difference between the ex-factory price and the retail price of LED lighting products. We estimate that commercial use will be LED by large company customers, and its price is higher than the ex-factory price but lower than the retail price of the terminal channel, it is expected to rise by 20 on the basis of ex-factory price-30. Based on the above price, the commercial lighting field of 11 hours/day and 250 days/year is economical. Through the investigation of LED lighting industry chain including NVC Lighting, Guoxing Optoelectronics, zhenmingli and Foshan Lighting, we reconfirmed the previous view that LED lighting applications are in a critical state of startup. In the investigation, we learned that the ex-factory price of LED18-watt fluorescent lamp is about 200 yuan, which can replace 36-watt fluorescent lamp with 40-watt actual power consumption (T8), The power saving effect exceeds 50; Product Life 20000-30000 hours. At present, there is a certain difference between the ex-factory price and the retail price of LED lighting products. We estimate that commercial use will be LED by large company customers, and its price is higher than the ex-factory price but lower than the retail price of the terminal channel, it is expected to rise by 20 on the basis of ex-factory price-30. Calculated at the above price, the commercial lighting field with 11 hours/day and 250 days/year is economical ( 20 discount rate, 20000 hours of life)Lighting companies are actively involved. Traditional lighting enterprises have entered or are entering LED lighting. The industry's feedback on the prospect of LED lighting is positive and positive. We expect that the first half of 2011 will belong to the promotion and introduction period of LED lighting, the large-scale rise of LED lighting applications is only a fire. The active expansion of upstream and downstream enterprises will bring scale effect to LED lighting industry. The cost is expected to be further reduced. It is estimated that the illuminance cost of LED lamps will be reduced by 30-by the end of 2011-40. New technologies are emerging one after another, and the cost drop is more than expected. In the process of research, we have seen that various enterprises are actively developing new technologies and new products, and have launched different solutions in the fields of chips, packaging, heat dissipation, etc, it is implied that the cost drop next year may exceed expectations. Potential catalyst: the beginning of the LED Lighting Demonstration Project will deepen the user experience and build the user's confidence in LED lighting applications. The state subsidy policy can be expected; The promulgation of national standards can facilitate the measurement and identification of product technical level; In the first half of 2011, the price difference between LED lamps and energy-saving lamps accelerated.