Can LED lighting be popularized in 2014?

Japan is one of the countries with fast popularity of LED lighting. Since the nuclear accident, the power shortage and the national awareness of energy conservation have increased, and the willingness to replace LED lamps has been strong. According to statistics, judging from the sales of LED lamps in Japan in the past few years, the year of high sales was 2012, and the shipment of LED lamps in 2013 did not rise but fell. Analysis of the main reasons: the replacement of LED lamps is mainly a new decoration option, and the replacement of LED lamps in the past is generally not. We discuss the popularity here. It should be the ratio of LED lamp sales to traditional lamp sales, which has a certain replacement time. Second, the quality of LED lamps is better than expected, and the lamp replacement period is prolonged. LED lamps are not as bad as we are worried about, and the actual application effect is better than reported. To this end, the first-line lighting brand adjustment strategy, began not to focus on the Japanese market. Analysis of Japanese experience, the popularity of LED lamps in other regions will be faster than expected. When it comes to LED lighting, people will think more of household lighting appliances such as bulb type and straight tube type. However, from the analysis results of the current situation and prospect of LED penetration rate in lighting appliances, the penetration rate of spotlights and downlights is high, and high growth is expected in the future. It is predicted that in terms of LED penetration rate in 2014, spotlights will reach 68 and downlights will reach 35. These lighting fixtures have been using metal halide lamps, which consume a lot of electricity, and the energy-saving effect of LED is obvious. Moreover, the replacement frequency can be reduced by using LED with long service life, which is a major driving factor for LED introduction. However, the LED penetration rate of bulb-type and straight-tube lighting products is still very low, mainly in the commercial lighting market. Due to the large price difference between LED lamps and incandescent lamps and fluorescent lamps, the popularity speed will be slower. The parameters such as heat dissipation and light efficiency that were worried in the past have been effectively solved, and the application has proved to be better than imagined. The main factors affecting the popularity of LED lighting are price and terminal customer awareness. The negative impact is mainly concentrated in outdoor lamps over 50 W, and the general household lighting response is better. The marketization of outdoor lighting lamps may take longer. No one can say clearly about the influence of LED light on human body, especially compared with the existing lamps. It is generally believed that incandescent lamps are more beneficial to health than incandescent lamps, but we do not intend to use incandescent lamps. Is fluorescent light better than LED light? Can only wait for everyone to think. Although countries will gradually ban the use of incandescent lamps in these years, it is not easy for many experts to completely disappear incandescent lamps. On the contrary, energy-saving fluorescent lamps disappear faster. Every parameter of fluorescent lamps except the price is exceeded by LED lamps, and the price is gradually approaching. The sales price in 2014 will be lower than that of fluorescent lamps. Fluorescent lamps will also withdraw from the stage without administrative orders, and incandescent lamps will exist for a relatively longer period of time. LED lighting has many negative reports, and we have given LED higher requirements. In the legislation, the LED lamps and lanterns are stricter than the past lamps and lanterns, and even much higher. For example: LED lamps require high power factor, no stroboscopic, drop requirements (Inconvenient to use glass design), Can't be hot, but also support dimming. These LED lamps with defects on fluorescent lamps are not discounted, and the price is cheaper. LED lamps can be better and cheaper. Although these industry regulations provide high standards for LED lamps, it is not the real demand of end customers, or it has not blocked the LED lighting process. With the gradual transfer of the government's upstream policy to the terminal application support and the implementation of the policy of large-scale replacement of LED lamps in some residential areas, the popularity of LED lamps is getting closer and closer and 2014. But LED is still hard to make money.